Friday, March 30, 2012

Round 1 (Supplemental): Brian Goodwin, OF, Miami Dade CC

(They named a team after Roger Bernadina?!? from Perfect Game)

No 2011 Stats

Sean's one sentence analysis: Toolsy in a good way, with a solid bat and plate discipline, speed and developing power.

Thoughts from the community: 
"Scouts believe Goodwin has the potential to have five tools that range from average to plus. Speed is his strongest tool, but he’s still learning to employ it on the basepaths and in center field. The Nats are said to have spent most of the instrux last fall trying to teach him to use his lower half to hit, a common problem for collegiate batters." Luke Erickson, (@nats_prospects)

"After an impressive freshman season in 2010 at the University of North Carolina, Goodwin went to the Cape Cod League that summer and starred for the Harwich Mariners, batting atop their lineup, playing center field, and hitting an impressive .281/.364/.360. After returning to Chapel Hill that fall, Goodwin was suspended from the team for an off-field incident, which led to his transferring to Miami-Dade College for his sophomore year and made him eligible for the 2011 draft. Goodwin started slowly at his new school, but turned it on closer to draft day to produce a .382/.492/.631 batting line, along with 16 stolen bases for the Sharks. Goodwin is a talented 5-tool player, with major league average or better tools across the board, and his hit tool is particularly advanced for his age. Although he needs polish, especially defensively in center field, and will likely move slowly through the Nationals’ farm system, Goodwin has the potential to be a fringe All-Star caliber center fielder in his prime, perhaps as soon as 2015." - Ryan Sullivan, (@natsgmdotcom)

Previous analysis and notes:
Goodwin started his college career at UNC, but was suspended for the 2011 season and subsequently transferred to Miami-Dade College.
Goodwin's stats in college:
2010 (UNC): .291/.411/.511, 66 H/227 AB, 47 R, 13 2B, 8 3B, 7 HR, 63 RBI, 7/9 SB, 45 BB/49 K
2011 (MDC): .382/.492/.631, 60 H/157 AB, 42 R, 11 2B, 2 3B, 8 HR, 37 RBI, 16/18 SB, 37 BB/??? K
From Matt Garrioch, MLB Bonus Baby, 6/17/2011: "Goodwin was a supplemental pick after being talked about as a 1st round talent, or even as high as the top pick in the 2012 draft when he was a freshman at North Carolina. After he was suspended from North Carolina, he went to Miami-Dade JC and did well, but didn't dominate. Some people see him as a future power hitting, speedy center fielder with an above average arm. I see him as a light hitting, patient hitter with good but not great speed and average ability in center field but more likely a left fielder. He is a good upside pick in this spot. His hit tool will decide his value long term."
From John Sickels, Minor League Ball, 6/14/2011: "Good speed, draws walks, power is developing. Main scout gripe is spotty defense but that should improve with experience."
From John Sickels, Minor League Ball/Baseball Nation, 6/7/2011: "Very toolsy outfielder with good speed, patience at the plate, and moderate power. Needs work on defense but high ceiling."
From Nathan Rode, Baseball America, 6/6/2011: "Goodwin has been compared to Jacque Jones with his average to plus tools across the board. He's a good hitter, showing patience and strength at the plate."
From Matt Grabusky, MLB Draft Guide, 6/5/2011: "Brian Goodwin is a top athlete and one of the most dynamic talents available in the 2011 draft. Goodwin is filled with potential offensively. He has a good approach at the plate and is willing to take a walk. He has plus bat speed. Goodwin’s swing is not geared to for hitting home runs, but he should be in the 10-15 home run range. He is also a threat to steal once he is on base. The only drawback for Goodwin is that he does tend to swing and miss a bit too often. Goodwin should be able to remain in center at the next level. He covers plenty of ground and has a plus arm. His breaks and routes need work...His game needs some polish, but there is plenty of potential here."
From Allan Simpson, Perfect Game USA, 6/1/2011: "Goodwin is unmistakably one of the elite athletes in the 2011 draft class, but his career to date has been marked by a number of twists and turns. His latest diversion has seen him spend his sophomore campaign at Florida’s Miami-Dade College after he was suspended in November for the 2011 season at North Carolina for violating university policy. He quickly emerged as the top prospect in the nation’s junior-college ranks and is a near-certain bet to be selected in the first round...Goodwin’s superior athleticism and maturing baseball skills make him an obvious first-round candidate, no matter what the draft year. He has all the raw tools to excel in the big leagues, and his combination of hitting skills, emerging power, superior speed and stellar defense makes him one of the best all-around outfield prospects in the 2011 draft. Goodwin is a 6.5-second runner with outstanding range in center field. He also has one of the top outfield arms in the class. Offensively, Goodwin has a quick, effortless lefthanded swing and stays inside the ball with a level, line-drive type swing. His raw strength enables him to generate bat speed and drive balls into the gaps, although his present approach at the plate limits his loft power. Goodwin was hobbled this spring by a hamstring issue initially, impacting his speed on the bases and in the outfield, but his entire game picked up as he regained full health...Goodwin is far from a finished product, however, and scouts say he’ll need to continue to refine both his approach at the plate and defense in center field. More than anything, he needs to develop more consistent breaks on balls hit his way in order to settle in as an everyday center fielder...If teams are convinced he can play center field over the long haul, he will be an overwhelming favorite to be the first junior-college player drafted in June, though he tentatively plans to return to North Carolina for his junior year if the draft doesn’t work out for him."
From Josh G, MLB Bonus Baby, 5/28/2011: "Goodwin is a tremendous athlete who was expected to go higher in the draft after being kicked off the North Carolina baseball team. He is a very good athlete though his instincts are still a bit lacking. He is committed to South Carolina next year."
From Matt Garrioch, MLB Bonus Baby, 5/13/2011: "Some people will tell you that Brian Goodwin could be a potential #1 overall pick if he doesn't sign this year and plays at South Carolina next year. Don't believe them. He won't hit much and the draft next year isn't as deep as this one, by any means, but it isn't a paltry class either. I don't have a crystal ball but I’m just stating my opinion. I’m saying Goodwin won’t hit enough to be the #1 overall pick. That’s not much of a limb to go out on. I’m sure everyone has favorites and guys they don’t like as much as others. Goodwin is on my overrated list."
From, 5/13/2011: "Goodwin possesses many of the same tools from a couple of years back. The left-handed hitter should be above average at the plate, with a good approach and the ability to square balls up. He's got future above-average power to all fields as well. An above-average runner, he uses his speed well on the bases, where he should be a basestealer, and in the outfield. He's got plenty of arm strength and a solid glove -- one that could work in center, but might be best suited to left field when all is said and done. He's got enough bat to play a corner, and the glimpses of all five tools he shows should have him in the first-round conversation."
From Nick Faleris, Diamond Scape Scouting, 1/21/2011: "Goodwin is slightly more refined, but like (UConn OF George) Springer needs to quiet his approach at the plate and tighten-up his game across the board." Faleris noted Goodwin as having the best arm out of all draft-eligible outfielders.
From John Kilma, Baseball Beginnings, 10/16/2010: "Left-handed hitter who has potential to become a very good player. Smooth swing, firm front, good hands, nice extension, confident in hands."

According to Jon Heyman of SI, the Nats have signed Brian Goodwin to a deal with a $3 million SB.

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